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In 2028, there will be 196 million FTTH/B users in 39 EU countries
2023-04-25The FTTH Council for Europe announced the findings of its FTTH/B Forecast for Europe 2023-2028 report at the FTTH Conference in Madrid.
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In the projections, Homes being passed for FTTH/B in the EU27 plus the UK will reach 211m by 2028, and 308m in the EU39.
By country, the countries with the highest number of FTTH/B households covered will be Germany (33.5 million), France (33.2 million) and the UK (30.7 million). The projections are in line with previous estimates, the committee said.
The report also forecasts 137 million FTTH/B subscribers in the EU27 + UK and 196 million in the EU39 region, with Take-up rates steadily increasing in both regions.
On the technology side, the commission said the data reported an important trend of PON's "gradual but clear victory" over peer-to-peer fiber, due both to ongoing advances in PON technology and the industry's growing focus on power consumption and sustainability.
About EU39: refers to the EU 27 + the United Kingdom, 4 CIS countries (including Kazakhstan and Ukraine), Iceland, Israel, North Macedonia, Norway, Serbia, Switzerland and Turkey.
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IDC has cut its forecast for global IT spending for the fifth month in a row
2023-04-11Last Wednesday, IDC cut its 2023 global IT spending forecast for the fifth month in a row, as tech investment continues to show the impact of a weak economy. In its latest monthly forecast for global IT spending growth, IDC 25G SFP28 SR expects overall growth of 4.4 percent to $3.25 trillion this year. Last month, IDC forecast growth of 4.5%; In October 2022, it forecast growth of 6.0 per cent.
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"Since Q4, we have seen clear and measurable signs of a modest pullback in IT spending in some areas," said Stephen Minton, vice president of IDC's Data and analytics research group. Tech spending remains resilient compared to historical recessions and other types of business spending, but rising interest rates are now impacting capital spending."
A month after cutting its forecast for PCS, IDC 25G SFP28 SR has now cut its forecast for a number of other hardware categories, including servers, wearables and peripherals. Corporate buyers have lowered their forecasts for internal infrastructure investment, while cloud and service provider deployments remain more resilient overall.
Spending by service providers is still down from last year's highs as the industry adjusts to slower growth after the coronavirus pandemic, but planned investments by cloud and super-scale providers have remained largely unchanged since last month. While strong demand for cloud services continues to drive growth in the face of inflationary pressures, non-cloud spending will decline.
Minton said, "The most significant impact is still in the consumer market, where IT spending is expected to fall by 2 percent this year. This would be the second year in a row that consumer tech spending has declined, a big change from the 18 percent consumer growth seen in 2021. On the other hand, enterprise demand for cloud and digital transformation remains strong despite economic headwinds."
Minton added, Resellers, who still make most of their revenue from in-house infrastructure and PCS, will face tough market conditions this year. At the same time, cloud infrastructure, software and services are growing at a slower pace than a year ago, but still account for a larger share of total IT spending and are adding to the general resilience the industry still enjoys." -
The arrival of the second wave of 5G: 30 countries in 2023 will launch services
2023-04-04The new data of GSMA Intelligence shows that as technological innovation has accelerated the speed of connection, the number of 5G connections will be doubled in the next two years; in 2023, more than 30 new 5G 10G SFP+ SR networks will be deployed in the world, and these new deployments will be deployed in these new deployments. In the network, it is expected that 15 will be 5G independent networks.
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GSMA Intelligence predictions show that mobile users and enterprises will experience significant growth. As of the end of 2022, the number of consumers has exceeded 1 billion, which will increase to about 1.5 billion this year, and will reach 2 billion by the end of 2025. This momentum confirms that 5G is the fastest -generation product compared to 3G and 4G 10G SFP+ SR.
As of January 2023, there are 229 commercial 5G networks around the world, and more than 700 5G smartphones are available for users.
Opening of emerging markets
The growth will also from the key markets in the Asia -Pacific region and the Latin American region, such as Brazil and India. The two countries have recently launched a 5G 10G SFP+ SR network. India will be particularly important, and the expansion of the AIRTEL and JIO services in 2023 will be important to the area of 5G in the region. GSMA Intelligence predicts that by the end of 2025, India will have 4 5G networks and 145 million new users.
Many new 5G markets planned to launch the Internet in 2023 are located in the development regions of Africa and Asia, including Ethiopia and Ghana. Today, the 5G 10G SFP+ SR penetration rate in the south of Sahara is less than 1%, but by 2025, it will reach more than 4%, and it will reach more than 16%by 2030. This will be largely due to industry and government organizations with citizens. Common efforts of connection.
Peter Jarich, the head of GSMA Intelligence, said: "So far, the adoption of 5G has been driven by consumers such as relatively mature markets and enhanced mobile broadband, but this situation is changing. We are now entering 5G's No. 1 No. 1. The two waves, this technology will attract different new markets and audiences. Extending to new use cases and markets will challenge the mobile ecosystem to prove that 5G 10G SFP+ SR is indeed flexible enough and can meet these different needs in a tolerance and innovation manner. "
The rise of 5G FWA
As of January 2023, more than 90 fixed broadband service providers (most of them were mobile operators) launched 5G commercial fixed wireless services in more than 48 countries. This means that about 40%of the world's 5G commercial mobile products include FWA products.
In the United States, T-Mobile and Verizon added a total of 3.17 million FWA users in 2022. By 2025, T-Mobile is expected to have 8 million FWA users, while Verizon's goal at the same time is 5 million FWA users. Moreover, as operators such as JIO announced the connection of up to 100 million households across India to its 5G FWA network, the number of FWA users may increase significantly in the next few years.
Although most 5G FWA deployment is concentrated in the 3.5–3.8GHz band, some operators around the world have used 5G millimeter wave spectrum as booster 10G SFP+ SR for capacity and performance to supplement the coverage provided by lower frequency bands.
So far, only 7%of 5G commercial networks use 5G millimeter wave spectrum, but given 27%of the spectrum distribution and 35%tests have been using 5G millimeter wave bands, this situation seems to change. In addition, in 2023 alone, the industry will allocate the use of 5G millimeter wave spectrum, which is significantly increased significantly compared to the 22 countries so far. Spain received the first 5G millimeter wave spectrum distribution in Europe this year. Therefore, Spain Telecom, Ericsson and Qualcomm launched the first commercial 5G 10G SFP+ SR millimeter wave network on MWC in Barcelona in 2023.
Enterprise Internet of Things promotes growth
GSMA Intelligence's data also shows that for operators, the corporate market will be the main driving force for the growth of 5G revenue in the next ten years. The income from commercial customers has accounted for about 30%of the total income of major operators. With the expansion of the digital scale of enterprises, this potential will further expand. Edge computing and IoT technology have provided further opportunities for 5G. 12%of operators have launched special wireless solutions 10G SFP+ SR . This number will grow with the expansion of the Internet of Things deployment in 2023.
Another main development of the enterprise market will be the commercial use of 5G Advanced in 2025. The 5G Advanced focusing on uplink link technology will improve speed, coverage, mobility and energy efficiency, and support new waves of business opportunities. GSMA's network transformation survey shows that half operators are expected to support 5G Advanced commercial networks within two years after the launch of 5G commercial -
Yole: The CPO market will generate $2.6 billion in revenue in 2033
2023-03-30Yole reports that revenue generated by the CPO market reached approximately $38 million in 2022 and is expected to reach $2.6 billion in 2033, with a compound annual growth rate of 46% in 2022-2033. Projections for the rapidly growing size of Training dataset suggest that data will be a major bottleneck for expanding ML models, so we may see a slowdown in the progress of artificial intelligence (AI). Using optical input/output (I/O) in ML hardware can help overcome this bottleneck. This bottleneck is the main driving factor for the adoption of optical interconnection in the next generation of high performance computing (HPC) systems.
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Co-packaged optical devices have attracted much attention in high performance computing
For the past 50 years, mobile technology has emerged every decade. Mobile bandwidth requirements have evolved from voice calls and text messages to ultra-high definition (UHD) video and various augmented reality/virtual reality (AR/VR) applications. While the COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound impact on the telecommunications infrastructure supply chain, consumers and business users around the world continue to generate new demand for web and cloud services. Social networking, business conferencing, ultra HD video streaming, e-commerce and gaming apps will continue to drive growth.
The number of devices connected to the Internet in every home and every person is increasing. With the advent of new digital devices with ever-increasing capabilities and intelligence, the adoption rate of users is increasing every year. In addition, expanding machine-to-machine applications, such as smart meters, video surveillance, healthcare monitoring, networked drives and automated logistics, are greatly contributing to the growth of devices and connectivity, and driving the expansion of data center infrastructure.
The co-packaged optical device (CPO) market faces difficult times due to service provider budget cuts and the fact that pluggable devices can already deliver the cost savings and low power consumption promised by CPOs. Full deployment of CPOs will only happen when pluggable devices lose momentum. It will be difficult for CPOs to compete with pluggable modules for at least the next two generations of switch systems, as pluggable modules will remain preferred for a long time. Cpos have received a lot of attention recently due to their network power efficiency in data centers (DCS). LC's analysis shows that the power savings from the network are negligible compared to the total power consumption of the data center. Only a handful of CPO vendors, such as Broadcom, Intel, Marvell, and others, will bring proprietary solutions to the market. In order to meet market demand and convince end users of the feasibility of CPOs, a multi-vendor business model and the validation of significant cost and power savings are a must.
With the arrival of 6.4T optical modules by 2029 at the latest, fierce competition between CPOs and pluggable optics is likely to occur. A number of technical hurdles in the CPO system are expected to be resolved by this time. However, the transceiver industry is constantly innovating to drive the market for pluggable optics. Until CPO systems are mass-shipped for network applications, pluggable co-packaging approaches will be adopted, and optical engines will become increasingly popular in high-performance computing and decomposed future systems. The industry ecosystem, which includes Ayar Labs, Intel, Ranovus, Lightmatter, AMD, GlobalFoundries, and others around machine learning (ML) system vendors Nvidia and HPE, has made considerable progress, It plans to deliver the products in bulk between 2024 and 2026.
Yole reports that revenue generated by the CPO market reached approximately $38 million in 2022 and is expected to reach $2.6 billion in 2033, with a compound annual growth rate of 46% in 2022-2033. Projections for the rapidly growing size of Training dataset suggest that data will be a major bottleneck for expanding ML models, so we may see a slowdown in the progress of artificial intelligence (AI). Using optical input/output (I/O) in ML hardware can help overcome this bottleneck. This bottleneck is the main driving factor for the adoption of optical interconnection in the next generation of high performance computing (HPC) systems.
Photonic integrated circuits make CPOs with low power and low cost optical interconnection possible
Yole expects 800G and 1.6T pluggable modules to be very popular because they take advantage of 100G and 200G single-wavelength optics and therefore can be technically and cost-effectively implemented in QSFP-DD and OSFP-XD packages. Pluggable packages will be limited in their ability to support 6.4T and 12.8 capacities in terms of required electrical and optical density, thermal management and energy efficiency. Due to the use of discrete electrical devices, power consumption and thermal management are becoming the limiting factors for pluggable
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